From straw poll to opinion poll
Modern opinion polling has been with us since the late 1930s and is now used around the world to help forecast elections and to do market research.
Today, we can鈥檛 imagine an election without an opinion poll gauging public opinion on who鈥檚 leading, who鈥檚 won a debate or who鈥檚 more popular with a specific group of voters. Even our favourite chocolate bars and footballers are subject to a poll. But how did straw polls evolve into the scientific number crunching we know now? What is their purpose and impact? How differently are they used around the world? And just how reliable are they?
Bridget Kendall is joined by economist and chairman of Gallup Pakistan, Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani; Scott Keeter, Senior Survey Advisor for the Pew Research Center in Washington; and Sir John Curtice from the University of Strathclyde.
(Photo: American President Harry S. Truman smiles and waves to the excited Kansas City crowd after hearing the news that he had won the United States elections in 1948, despite what the polls had predicted. Credit: Keystone/Getty Images)
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Gauging public opinion in the USA
Duration: 01:12
Broadcasts
- Thu 27 Oct 2022 09:06GMT91热爆 World Service
- Thu 27 Oct 2022 23:06GMT91热爆 World Service
- Sun 30 Oct 2022 03:06GMT91热爆 World Service East and Southern Africa & West and Central Africa only
- Sun 30 Oct 2022 14:06GMT91热爆 World Service except East and Southern Africa & West and Central Africa
Do you think political or business leaders need to be charismatic? Or do you prefer highly competent but somewhat stern people?
We鈥檇 love to hear your views on charm and charisma for a future Forum.
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