New York ready for most open of Slams
As I start to write this blog, in an overpriced, understrength coffee outlet at Heathrow airport, I am distracted by one of those electronic waterfalls.
The rain gushes down, gathers in a flood at the bottom of the feature, before being recycled back to the top.
The past two US Opens have ended on a third Monday while memories of the 2003 tournament are soured by three-and-a-half days of continuous rain and no play.
Thankfully the storms which have hit New York this week, causing rivers to run along the cross-streets and players to shelter in $100-an-hour Manhattan indoor courts, have now dispersed. and hopefully the tennis will match.
The forecast was correct and the minute we emerge from the , after a wind-assisted zip across the atlantic courtesy of Her Majesty's airline, we are hit by the usual smoggy chaos of Manhattan.
. I love the energy around every corner, the creativity and individuality of the citizens. You never know the story of the next man or woman but you suspect it's a good one.
Out at the tennis - the vast at Flushing Meadows - the place is packed with kids watching the stars practice. The food court is rammed and bands perform at places like "The Let's Get Pumped Stage".
Kim Clijsters and Rafael Nadal watch Roger Federer entertain the crowds in New York. Photo: Getty Images
Back in the sanctuary of the interview room, saunters in wearing shiny black; looks more bored than ever; cracks gags about cricket. Everyone, as always this close to a major, appears a little twitchy.
Federer is interesting. An "up-and-down year" has included the occasional injury setback. Perhaps he should have taken a break - he admits as much - but he says loves tennis too much and wants to play. "I'm not scared of taking losses," he says, candidly. "Losses get over-rated sometimes". I can see where he's coming from.
The analysis is at its most intense when Federer loses unexpectedly, like . We expect consistency from professional athletes. Perhaps we expect too much and forget how hard it is to maintain a world-class standard. Sometimes things go wrong, sometimes these superhuman lose. That's sport. Federer doesn't care.
"I spoiled myself by playing so well," he says. "If I win one or two Slams a year I'm on a downslide. I take that as a compliment."
He reveals that after a successful trial period. The American is winding down at the LTA and will work alongside Federer's friend and confidant Severin Luthi. "How many weeks a year?" I ask. "I am Swiss, I don't deal in weeks only minutes," he replies. Nice.
has made two US Open semi-finals and one quarter-final. It's not a bad record but when you're number one, you want to make the finals and win the Slams. He's claimed the other three. So what about here? Logic suggests the courts are too quick and an aggressive Murray can beat him on Super Saturday. But logic doesn't apply when Rafa is involved.
It's pointless making predictions. Having said that, let's make some more predictions.
has an excellent chance, on current evidence, of making a third major final to play Federer. and has a little bit of extra fortune, he can do it. But Berdych, in his quarter, can do some considerable forehand damage on these slick courts. A second successive major final can't be ruled out.
And what about Roddick? And his big mate Mardy Fish? And welcome back to David Nalbandian, who would , is back from long-term injury and playing well. If he can survive the first week he could be the unexpected dangerman.
The women's tournament is wide open after . The 2009 finalists are the top two seeds but it's runner-up just behind.
Interestingly, I am told the last US Open number one seed to play a final the week before (i.e. 48 hours before the start of the final major of the season) was back in 1988.
I have a strange prediction for this, based on nothing at all other than she's been threatening for a decade and I think she has a major in her, and that is . Go on, laugh if you want. But who really knows?! That's why we love open tournaments like this one.
Enough of the preamble, which includes , let's get the tennis started and round off the Grand Slam year with an epic Open!
And I must just add - good luck also to Elena Baltacha and Anne Keothavong, in the main draw as of right, because they both have winnable first round matches followed by some giant-killing potential.
Sadly, after letting slip a healthy final set lead for the second year in a row.
She led 3-1 40-15 against Nuria Llagostera-Vives, the experienced Spaniard who used some unfortunate delaying tactics during the match, but nerves seemed to get the better of the 16-year old again.
In the crucial 3-3 game, having lost her break, she hit a moonball long and then a double fault on the two points from deuce. An erratic display that was sad to watch because we know that she is so much better. She has to stay positive and keep believing that next year she won't need the trials of the qualifying competition.
Another year of progress should leave her close to the main draw in 2011.
Comment number 1.
At 29th Aug 2010, monkeyphoenix wrote:I don't see it being so open, if Fed makes the final he will win.
Women's is hugely open, but far less entertaining without Henin and Serena.
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Comment number 2.
At 29th Aug 2010, U14285305 wrote:"Rafael Nadal has made three US Open semi finals."
2008, 2009 can anyone enlighten me on the third semi-final?
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Comment number 3.
At 29th Aug 2010, rjaggar wrote:Based on reading what the media let us read, I simply conclude that Andy Murray has not been so well prepared mentally for a slam in his life to date..........
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Comment number 4.
At 29th Aug 2010, singh246 wrote:Well no one really cares about womens tennis. It's really boring
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Comment number 5.
At 29th Aug 2010, T4k3th4t wrote:Nice thread but Soderling should be seen as a dark horse in the men's.
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Comment number 6.
At 30th Aug 2010, Mohan wrote:I enjoy your posts but I guess you should get someone to proofread. The food court is 'crammed' and sometime 'this superhuman loses' or maybe 'these super-humans lose'.
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Comment number 7.
At 30th Aug 2010, kaufman39 wrote:poster #2 is right, nadal has only made two US semis, but expect him to reach at least the semis this time round. i agree, this tournament's so wide open. murray can do it if he can avoid a flat match/dip in form which often hits him in majors, esp. if he plays a big hitter like berdych.
and watch out for nalby - most dangerous player in the draw alongside davydenko
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Comment number 8.
At 30th Aug 2010, Teddy wrote:Have to say I don't find anything interesting about Overend's blogs -- his "I can't believe my luck" bio in the corner smacks of someone who's too busy being awestruck and riding on the Murray-mobile to offer us anything insightful or provocative to get a bit of debate going here in the comments. People are reduced to pointing out his typos.
And reading lines like "And welcome back to D. Nalbandian, who would probably have won the 2003 US Open had he converted match point against Roddick in the semi-final...." are just painful.
Can't anyone in the UK write some actual analysis of players, match ups, find some interesting quotes? The Beeb isn't alone in producing completely dour tennis writing.
The NY Times blog "Straight sets" is light years ahead of this stuff.
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Comment number 9.
At 30th Aug 2010, Liliana wrote:I don't expect much more from Nadal than we've seen last years at NY. I do expect Andy Murray to rock out there.
"the withdrawal of arguably the last generation's best two hard-court players - Serena Williams and Justine Henin". I argue with you, I think you're forgetting Kim Clijsters. Incredible cout-wide defense, deep groundstrokes, nice placement, amazing straddle... Too much to be forgotten. Plus, she won in her last two appearances at NY (14-0 record since 2005) and her three titles of the year were on hard-court.
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Comment number 10.
At 30th Aug 2010, Tony wrote:The 2010 us open is the most open for both the men and womens singles. Although most of the pundits have Federer as favourite and rightly so, Murray, Nadal and Djokovic should not be counted out. Berdych, Nalbandian, Davydenko and Soderling are dark horses in the draw. The women`s event is more open than the mens as there has not been any dominant player this summer. Clijsters as the defending champsion will be the slight favourite although she may not have fully recovered from her injury. Sharapova and Venus williams if on form will always be a threat. As the last grand slam of the year I hope that the 2010 us open will be a great tournament with may great matches.
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Comment number 11.
At 30th Aug 2010, meninwhitecoats wrote:We are all preoccupied with Fed/Nadal/Murray - it is hard to see outside those three but Del Potro came out of the blue maybe the hard hitting Berdych could spring a surprise.
Still waiting for another Fed/Nadal final but I am not hopeful.
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Comment number 12.
At 31st Aug 2010, All balls allowed wrote:I definitely think this year's US Open has the potential to be the most exciting one yet because there are so many players in with a chance of success. Despite it being so wide open I think it may end up being the old pretenders who take the titles as I'm predicting Nadal and Sharapova winning. That said I can see Azarenka and Fish both doing well. I've written a blog about how wide open it all is at www.allballsallowed.wordpress.com.
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Comment number 13.
At 1st Sep 2010, terrier1987cas wrote:Soderling for me! After going to the last 2 US Opens while I'be been in the States for those summers, his match against Federer was by far the most memorable. I wouldnt call him a dark horse though, hes been threatening for a while now and people know what he is capable of...
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Comment number 14.
At 2nd Sep 2010, DrCajetanCoelho wrote:British star Andy Murray has made a bright start. Hope he does justice to his enormous talent. There are some major upsets already at a very early stage. This is surely going to be a very open Grand Slam. Good luck to the players and their fans.
Interesting and positive blog by Jonathan. Thanks.
Dr. Cajetan Coelho
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Comment number 15.
At 2nd Sep 2010, Labourwillgetin2015 wrote:In the final analysis, I doubt whether Murray has the character to win a Slam. I think he would have used one of his last two opportunities, if he had.
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