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Welsh Assembly election

Election 07 graphic

Battlegrounds

  • Betsan Powys
  • 30 Apr 07, 09:12 AM

In the Senedd building first thing this morning and the cleaners were already hard at it mopping the slate floor. No sign of blood after last night's debate between the party leaders but not much love lost either. Before the programme Rhodri Morgan, Nick Bourne, Mike German and their advisers shared a room, had a chat. Ieuan Wyn Jones and his team stayed away.

Some of the security staff in the Bay this morning were there last night or had been at home, watching on television. They were taken aback that Rhodri Morgan seemed to have lost the audience by the end. 'They weren't with him, were they?' Not clear who they were with mind you.

The Independent newspaper has today identified 6 battlegrounds in Wales: Montgomeryshire is in there, along with Blaenau Gwent which the paper says is 'under threat' from independent candidate Trish Law. Not quite how I'd put it.

The paper reports that Labour's canvassing returns show the party could lose six seats to the Tories - pretty much what one of the Wales 60 said that Peter Hain had told him in New Tredegar when the party launched their manifesto. Is that on top of losses to Plaid? How confident are they there won't be any of those?

Mr Hain is sticking to the mantra: "There is a real risk of the Tories coming in to power". Are you starting to believe him?

By the way I caught Karl the former (now revived) bookie scrutinising the weather forecast this morning. Odds on turnout imminent. Let's just say he's offering a 100 - 1 on a 60-61% turnout and doesn't venture any higher. More details from Vaughan later.

Comments   Post your comment

  • 1.
  • At 10:59 AM on 30 Apr 2007,
  • dowlais twp wrote:

Karl the bookie is being optomistic on a 60-61%turnout.
In 1999 it was 48% and 38%in 2003.
Even with fine weather which should encourage people to vote, the turnout will not be much over 50%
A few people have asked me today when is the vote, so obviously the message has not yet got across its Thursday.

  • 2.
  • At 09:03 PM on 30 Apr 2007,
  • dev wrote:

That six seats to the Tories rumour seems like something the Labour Party would put out to scare their voters into turning out. We are dealing with politicians here.

  • 3.
  • At 09:43 PM on 30 Apr 2007,
  • BlueFlagRevolution wrote:

Six seats from Labour to the Tories?

We can only hope that that's true!

  • 4.
  • At 05:52 PM on 01 May 2007,
  • Eluned wrote:

So you are the Welsh Conservative are you? Now we know.

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